Technology shocks and current account dynamics
نویسندگان
چکیده
Despite success along some dimensions, international business cycle models have difficulty replicating several salient features of international capital flows among developed countries. In particular, net exports and current account balances are much more persistent in the data than in standard models. We account for this feature of the data with a simple onegood two-country model in which technology exhibits long run growth differences between the two countries. This specification implies persistent differences in per capita GDPs across countries, that are similar to what we observe among developed countries. Large and persistent trade balances arise as an optimal outcome of the model. JEL Classification Codes: F21, F32, E20.
منابع مشابه
Financial Markets and Firm Dynamics
Recent studies have shown that the dynamics of firms (growth, job reallocation and exit) are negatively correlated with the initial size of the firm and its age. In this paper we analyze whether financial factors, in addition to technological differences, are important in generating these dynamics. We introduce financial market frictions in a basic model of industry dynamics with persistent sho...
متن کاملTechnology Shocks Matter
I use the neoclassical growth model to identify the effects of technology shocks on the US business cycle. The model includes two sources of technology shocks: neutral, which affect the production of all goods homogeneously, and investment-specific. Investmentspecific shocks are the unique source of the secular trend in the real price of investment goods, while both shocks are the only factors ...
متن کاملEvaluating the Impacts of Balance of Payments Variables Shock on Selected Macroeconomic Variables Using FAVAR
International balance of payments is one of the most common criteria for measuring the flow of trade and capital transfers in an open economy. The three main components of this balance are: trade balance, current account (or difference between export and import of goods and services) and capital account. In this study, factor augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) was used to evaluate th...
متن کاملThe analytics of technology news shocks
This paper constructs several models in which, unlike the standard neoclassical growth model, positive news about future technology generates an increase in current consumption, hours and investment. These models are said to exhibit procyclical news shocks. We find that all models that exhibit procyclical news shocks in our paper have two commonalities. There are mechanisms to ensure that: (I) ...
متن کاملThe Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Transitional Dynamics of Business Cycles in Iran: Markov Switching Model with Time Varying Transition Probabilities (MS-TVTP)
The business cycles are one of the most important economic indicators that they show the changes in economic activities during time. The study of business cycles is important because the understanding fluctuations in GDP and effective factors on these fluctuations help policy makers to plan better and more efficient. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of oil price shoc...
متن کامل